Did You Know You Can Bet on Whether UFOs Exist or Not?
Are aliens among us? Some people believe aliens are out there. Others think it’s all a big mystery. But did you know you can actually place bets on whether the U.S. government will confirm the existence of UFOs or aliens?
That’s right. Online prediction markets let people bet on future events—including whether UFOs are real. These markets work kind of like a stock exchange, but instead of trading company shares, you’re trading guesses on what might happen.
What’s a Prediction Market?
A prediction market is a place where people buy and sell shares in the outcome of a future event. If something happens, the winning shares pay out. If it doesn’t, they don’t.
For example, one market might ask: “Will the U.S. government confirm that aliens exist by the end of 2025?” If you think the answer is yes, you can buy a share that will pay out $1 if it happens. If it’s selling for 6 cents, that means the market thinks there’s a 6% chance.
Let’s say you spend $100 on shares at 6 cents each. You’d get about 1,666 shares. If the government does confirm aliens by the deadline, you’d earn $1 per share—so you’d walk away with $1,666. That’s a $1,566 profit. But if nothing happens, you lose the $100 you put in.
Where Can You Bet on This?
Polymarket is one of the most active platforms offering UFO-related bets. It’s based on cryptocurrency and allows people to place small bets on all kinds of things—from elections to weather to UFOs. Other sites, like PredictIt, sometimes host similar markets depending on the rules in their country.
Many of these platforms use blockchain technology and stablecoins to manage bets securely. If you’re curious about how blockchain and cryptocurrency are influencing gambling, this article explains it in more detail. But not all prediction markets use cryptocurrency. Some platforms like PredictIt or Kalshi operate with regular currency and allow bank transactions, though their available topics may be more limited.
In places where gambling laws are more relaxed, you might even find regular betting sites offering odds on UFO disclosure or alien life.
Why Would People Bet on UFOs?
Several things have pushed this idea into the spotlight:
When something big happens—like a government hearing—these markets react. People either buy or sell based on what they think it means.
What’s the Catch?
There are some risks:
- It’s hard to define “confirmation.” What counts as proof? A video? A government report? People may not agree.
- Markets can be shut down. Some of these platforms face legal issues and may not be around forever.
- It’s all very speculative. These bets aren’t based on facts, they’re based on what people think might happen.
Can Betting Make a Difference?
Not really. Betting markets don’t pressure governments the way public campaigns or journalists can. But they do reflect what people are paying attention to. If a UFO market gets big enough, it could get the media talking. And that might spark more interest or investigation.
Final Thoughts
You don’t have to believe in UFOs to find this interesting. These bets give a peek into what people are thinking—and how serious they are about it. Whether it’s for fun or part of a wider belief, betting on UFOs is one of the stranger ways the internet is mixing entertainment, curiosity, and real-world events.
